I am presuming this was a two stage technique using cover screws not healing abutments and that you used good sterile surgical technique. I also presume that you had a CT scan prior to surgery and that you analysed your implant positioning prior to surgery and that there was plenty of bone surrounding the implants when placed. Of course I would also expect that you did not overheat the bone while drilling. Clearly these are reasonable assumptions but if they did not happen then any of these issues could be a reason for bone loss. If the patient wore her denture post surgery then this could also be a causative factor, especially if stress was placed on the implant.
Having said this, it seems to me that you did everything to a high standard.
You titled your post “crateringâ€. Having reviewed many cases of cratering, I would not place your current case in this category. Rather I would categorise it as bone loss. Cratering usually has a pronounced, clearly defined bone loss with peri-implantitis and granulation tissue occupying the defective area.
In your case, the #4 implant may develop further bone loss and progressive soft tissue ingression. Only time will tell, and it seems to me from your description that you have done everything possible to reduce that possibility.
As with most things in dentistry, it is not likely that you will obtain perfect results every time. There is an accepted failure rate of 5% for implants (although my feeling is that good operators will have a lower rate than this). However it is also generally accepted that a totally acceptable “success†rate is somewhere between 55% to 65%. Therefore there is a “grey†area between absolute failure and acceptable success. It maybe that your #4 will fall into this grey area – not perfect but not a failure.
Although dental implants have been used for decades, there are still many aspects about failure we do not understand or why we do not achieve a successful outcome every time. All we can do is eliminate the known causes of failure and practice the best surgical techniques we can. As best I can see, you have done this.
If you need to replace this implant then theoretically you should have only a low chance of a second failure.
However as a word of caution, I have observed several cases over 25 years where, on replacing a failed implant, the second implant (and in one case a third) also failed. In all these cases, additional implants were placed in other positions in the mouth (under identical conditions) and these additional respective implants were successful. As such, I have concluded that occasionally there are areas of bone which may not be acceptable for implanting. At this stage I have not been able to identify what these reasons may be, but am confident the reasons are biological rather than surgical. With this in mind, you may want to consider placing another implant a little more posteriorly if #4 fails in due course (in seems on the radiograph you showed, there is more vertical bone there anyway).
Sergio
10/13/2018
About the part of ' generally accepted 55-65 percent for absolute success', could you provide reference?